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发表于 2016-10-20 16:52:13
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Let's summarize the trend of USD/JPY when it does not rebound to the first price of a week on Tuesday. The optimal time setting up orders must be after Wednesday, when it is above the first price, bids down; when it is below the first price, bids up. Bonus target is 170 points between peak and bottom points.
For the FoF trading, only when it stabilizes below 1% ascending or descending from Tuesday to Wednesday morning, then it starts to rebound after Wednesday and the stop-losing orders is 1.0% (during extreme event such as BoJ interest rate statement, stop-losing orders can be 1.3%). In this situation, it sends market trading signals from the beginning of BoJ morning business hours to the beginning of afternoon business hours: for example, it rebounds to the first price at the beginning of BoJ business hours on Wednesday or Thursday if USD/JPY is closer to the first price at the end of last US business hours; or if USD/JPY stabilizes below 1% before Tuesday, it reaches 0.95% ascending or descending (approximately 100 points) between the beginning of BoJ business hours and the beginning of BoJ afternoon business hours, then starting to rebound during BoJ business hours only.
Once it bids away from the first price at 23:50PM on Monday (BoJ business hours on Tuesday morning), and it reaches ascending or descending by more than 1% after Tuesday, no FoF trading from Tuesday to the end of Wednesday because BoJ lacks of funds to rebound. However, cash trading should follow this trend when it exceeds 1% ascending or descending on Tuesday, and cash trading is held until Thursday when it reaches 1.8% or 2.8% ascending or descending with stop-losing orders at 1% too.
In this case, there are two kinds of trading methods after BoJ business hours starts on Thursday: firstly rebound orders after 2.85% ascending or descending with 3.0% stop-losing orders is worthwhile testing if it exceeds 2 % ascending or descending at the beginning of BoJ business hours on Thursday. Secondly, if it is closed to 1.8% ascending or descending at the beginning of BoJ business hours on Thursday, it is worthwhile testing rebound after 1.85% ascending or descending, with stop-losing orders at 2.01%, rather than 2.1% before this due to statistics of past records. However, 1.85% rebound orders is risky before the beginning of BoJ business hours on Thursday in this case;if USD/JPY stabilizes below 1% before Wednesday, it reaches 0.95% ascending or descending (approximately 100 points) after BoJ business hours and then rebound, with stop-losing orders at 1%. All the rebound orders must be completed at 01:00AM on Friday.
For the cash trading, If USD/JPY reaches 1.3% to 1.5% ascending or descending at the beginning of US business hours on Tuesday , it aims to bid for 1.8% ascending or descending after that. For the FoF orders from the beginning of Tuesday to the end of Wednesday, the right time setting up orders must be during BoJ business hours (before the beginning of afternoon business hours) only. The time setting up FoF orders can be from BoJ business hours to US business hours on Thursday. Good luck!
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