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Short term trading for high leverages

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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-4 17:36:47 | 显示全部楼层
这年头,瘟疫。还不如呆在家里操点盘更实在。至少不会有生命风险。
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-10 17:03:24 | 显示全部楼层
基金这种形式的机构,投资者与基金之间是托管的关系,这种关系是最不可靠的。不管基金是否能够盈利,基金管理人都可以领取高薪。如果是有限责任公司的机构,投资者与基金之间只能是股权权益或是借贷关系,这种关系还更为可靠一些,尤其是借贷关系更为可靠性。如果机构没有盈利,机构管理人都领取高薪,可以非法转移公司资产对管理者或是法人董事起诉。所以基金形式的机构吸收公众资金有很大可能是骗局。
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-12 16:45:01 | 显示全部楼层
CHF/JPY would re-touch 114.40 firstly, and then rebound down to 108.80. USD/CHF would target 0.9640 while USD/JPY may continue to go up. The currency exchange signals around 109.80 is shown by USD/JPY which is exceeded around the open price.
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-14 09:10:28 | 显示全部楼层
USD/CHF would ascend above 0.9800, the long main target shown on Dec 2019. It is to wait for the currency exchange signals of EUR/USD to set up buying orders.
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-17 16:36:38 | 显示全部楼层
其实大陆公司现在营改增税收改革之后,公司所得税率已经很低了,而且费用票据的成本也只有4个点左右,整体算下来公司所得税率都小于10%。因此私人权益的公司在大陆都完全可以像BVI公司一样具有合法避税的制度。
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-18 19:39:41 | 显示全部楼层
根据现在税法,有限公司在大陆证券市场资本增值收益都是免税的。在大陆成立投资公司投资证券其实就足够了。投资公司仅仅以募股筹资,是不需要金融许可证的。这样比较下来,如果懂行,比如跟随A50指数在大陆对应地投资金融股票是肯定比欧洲证券市场要强,不仅税收更低,而且更容易预测。
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-19 08:36:56 | 显示全部楼层
EUR/USD exceeded the historic Max deficit of 200 points inverse to the currency exchange signals, leading to 4% loses in institutional securities account. If it shows strong stabilization of bottoms at 1.0790 level, buying orders would be setting up at this level with stop-losing at 250 points inverse to the currency exchange signals at 1.09930. Good luck!
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-20 09:43:09 | 显示全部楼层
EUR/USD may re-show currency exchange signals again at the same price level in the next week. Seemingly short main is coming.
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-20 13:05:59 | 显示全部楼层
According to Interactive broker data, EUR/USD descends by 70 points at 06:00AM today. The short main would be released out.
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-20 17:34:00 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several continuous confirmations (at least four times) of supportive peaks or bottoms points in a week. Shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: the first peak or bottom point must ascend or descend from previous bottom or peak by at least 10 points; spanning 30 minutes between any of two peak or bottom points; rebounding at least 10 points in the middle trend between two points for accurate high leverage trading tool; at least 10 points rebounding down from each peak point (or up from each bottom point); + - no more than 5 points between the first two points; the third point can refer to either of previous two points, and the fourth point can refer to any of previous three points. This strong signals of EUR/USD must be counted very exactly within +- 5 points range between two supportive points, unlike crossing currency pair of CAD/CHF. For the strong stabilization of peaks signals, the stabilization trend starts descending from or above the strong peaks level; for the strong stabilization of bottoms signals, stabilization trends starts ascending from or below the strong bottom level. Currency exchange signals: there must be both strong peaks and bottoms signals shown concurrently (as defined by currency exchange operation), and the points between both of them is usually less than 30 points. For the trading of currency exchange signals for basic currency pair EUR/USD in short term with optimal bonus targets of 50 points stabilization trends, it is applicable on setting up selling orders when the trend ascends above the first strong peaks signals (at least four or more peaks) forming in a week by more than 5 points, and the stop-losing is at 50 points above the selling orders (45 points higher to the strong peak level only); the buying orders setting up is in the inverse way; However, there are several trading conditions to optimize in short term: 1. if the strong signals releases stabilization trend by approximately 40 points (more than 35 points) without this familiar signals firstly, it is not to trade this signals again; 2. the strong stabilization signals doesn't stand in short term if it starts around the open price of a week without apparent trends (less than 40 points trends between weekly peak and bottom). For example, on 10-11/12/2019, the first currency exchange signals is counted before apparent trends (40 points) is shown (three of four supportive bottoms are counted before apparent trends is shown), then short main starts to rebound back from exactly 100 points to it; 3. For example, on 05/02/2020 the currecny exchange signals occurs, which is closed to last signals of currency exchange on 30/01/2020 (+- less than 0.5% ranges between two continuous currency exchage signals), so it goes down sharply to more than 200 points below the strong bottoms. Indeed, there are currency exchange signals continuously for three times around this level. For another example, currency exchange signals are continuously shown over 04-11/10/2019 at the same price level for more than twice, so that the short main rebounds from 190 points above it with single peak. For the middle term trading (to test the rebound trends after 100 points or more points to the currency exchange signals), the second strong peaks or bottoms at the range of more than 100 points to the first currency exchange signals must be shown again to confirm the rebound trends (If the second strong peaks or bottoms are shown at the range of less than 100 points to the first currency exchange signals, the second trading signals may suit for short term trading only without targeting the first currency exchange signals such as 10-11/10/2019). In this case, the stop-losing is still 50 points inversely to the second strong signals if it occurs after apparent trends of a week (more than 40 points). For example, if there is currency exchange signals at 1.1000, and the strong peaks is not released immediately with upwards trend only, when there's strong peaks again at 1.1200 to confirm, then it is to test the rebound down trends above 1.1200. For another example, if it rebounds from more than 150 points to the currency exchange signals (for example, it rebounds from 1.1270 to 1.1000), it usually re-touches the middle term peak (1.1270) after more than 100 points rebound in the middle (for example, it should rebound down from 1.1270 to 1.1160 firstly and then ascends again to re-touch 1.1270 peak, targeting 1.1000 finally). This nature usually is applicable on EUR/USD only. In this case, cashing trading without leverages in Bank of China is the optimal tools in terms of a combination of both exchange rate and Forex Futures trading fees. The exchange rate of major currency pairs is only less than 0.3% in Bank of China, and the Futures trading fees is approximately 6 points for major currency pairs. For example, when EUR/USD reaches long main targets and subsequently aims to short main targets, EUR is exchanged into USD and USD is used as cash deposit to sell EUR/USD by Futures tool in Bank of China. This fees is much less than other banks globally, which charges the trading fees of at least 1% in this methods.

Strong stabilization signals method above is also applicable on basic currency pair of USD/JPY trading. The optimal bonus target is 50 points stabilization trend for USD/JPY.

Strong stabilization signals method above is also applicable on basic currency pair of AUD/USD trading. However, the optimal min bonus target is at least 100 points which only suits for middle term trading.

Strong stabilization signals method above is also applicable on basic currency pair USD/CHF; the optimal bonus target is 45 points stabilization trends in short term. To optimize the trading in short term, if selling signals occurs in the weekly short main trend as to follow short main, the optimal price setting up orders is to set up selling once the strong peaks is exceeded by more than 5 points; buying signals is in the inverse way; However, if selling signals occurs after weekly long main trend to test rebounding, in this case, it is to set up selling when the last long main releases at least 40 points stabilization trend firstly before setting up selling orders); buying signals is in the invese way. Please note: On 05-07/11/2019, the right price setting up buying orders is counted on the basis of the first four bottoms (descending trend exceeds the first four bottoms by more than 5 points firstly, and it is to avoid the understanding that strong peaks is exceeded by long main trend firstly, misleading to set up selling orders).

For the trading of strong stabilization signals for crossing currency pair CAD/CHF, the inaccuracy of each peak or bottom point can be less than 5 points (for example, if the highest peak is 0.7588, and it rebounds down by 15 points in the middle, then 0.7583 is also counted as this peak point range; for another example, if the highest peak is 0.7588, and it rebounds down by 13 points in the middle trend, then 0.7585 is counted as peak point; however, if the second peak point exceeds the first peak points 0.7588 by more than 5 points, then this stabilization signals does not stand again). The stabilization trends would be multiple ones, and the cumulative trends aross this stabilization signals is at least 1%. For the short term trading of both hedge currency pairs, the optimal bonus trend length is approximately 0.5% stabilization trend (more than 30 points only as conservative bonus rate) for CAD/CHF (for example, on 21/10/2019, the strong peaks release descending trend by more than 0.5% range, then it is not right to follow selling again at the beginning of this week unless it re-shows strong peaks after this 0.5% stabilization trend) and the stop-losing is 25 points inversely to the strong signals. 1. Optimally, this strong stabilization signals of peaks or bottoms are most applicable on the first strong signals at the beginning of a week (if there are both strong peaks and bottoms signals shown concurrently, it is to set up selling firstly once the strong peaks is exceeded by ascending trend, or to set up buying firstly once the strong bottoms signals is exceeded by descending trend), and it is risky to follow buying or selling orders at middle-term peak level or bottom level correspondingly; 2. For the trading signals between two weeks, if the open price of the second week is within 10 points range to the closed price of last week, the peak or bottom points occuring at the end of last week would be continuous, and at least two peak or bottom points must be confirmed at the beginning of the second week for this trading (For example, the CAD/CHF trend on 29/06/2019; however, on 05/08/2019, the supportive bottoms at previous bottom level (0.7427) are not doubly confirmed at the beginning of the second week); if the open price of the second week is more or less than 20 points to the closed price of last week, then the stabilization signals at the end of last week would not be applicable any more (For example, CAD/CHF trend on 10/06/2019); For the strong stabilization of bottoms, the first buying orders would be setting up at 13 points above the strong bottoms with target bonus of 15 points, and the second orders would be setting up at 15 points below strong bottoms. Strong stabilization of peaks is in the inverse way. If the stabilization signals occurs around the open price at the beginning of a week (without 40 points trends), it is optimal for this crosing currency pair CAD/CHF to trade; However, when there are apparent trends in this week, it is optimal to trade basic currency pairs instead.

China A50 index trading --- shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: the first bottom point must descend by at least 100 points from the previous peak; then rebounds up by at least 100 points in the middle trend; finally the second bottom point is within 50 points apart to the first peak. Trading methods: when the second bottom is about to occur, buying orders is set up at the first bottom point, with stop-losing at 55 points below the first bottom point. If the lowest bottom is not tested, then the second lowest bottom is tested. When there is a single peak point leaving as the middle term target of long main, the optimal time to enter the market is after 1000 points descending trend for the first buying orders, targeting the single peak; the second buying orders is set up at 2000 points descending to the single peak point, with bonus target of 1000 points.  

Please note: Interactive brokers would release sharp trends at the transient time of turning over Futures at 06:00AM, and this would not be the slipery points, which definitely is taken into considerations. It is cautious to pre-set up orders over this sensitive time if there are currency exchange signals (for example on 20/02/2020 EUR/USD). This case indicates that the optimal price ('exceeded points') setting up orders in this method should occur from EU to US business hours normally, but the shart trends at this transient time must be taken into consideration for making decision. It is fine to trade USD/CHF and USD/JPY over 24 hours instead, and both currency pairs do not show the sharp trends at the transient time of turning over Futures at 06:00AM in Interactive Brokers, so it is also fine to follow both of them in the middle term. The points calculation is based on the data detrived from Activtrades, the most exact data in market. For example, on 27/02/2020, the third highest peak is 110.454, and the fourth peak is 110.403, so that the currency exchange signals does not form.


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