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Short term trading for high leverages

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发表于 2019-6-18 10:26:12 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
Strong stabilization signals: the several continuous confirmations (at least four times) of supportive peaks or bottoms points in a week. Shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: the first peak or bottom point must ascend or descend from previous bottom or peak by at least 10 points; spanning 30 minutes between any of two peak or bottom points; rebounding at least 10 points in the middle trend between two points for accurate high leverage trading tool; at least 10 points rebounding down from each peak point (or up from each bottom point); + - no more than 5 points between the first two points; the third point can refer to either of previous two points, and the fourth point can refer to any of previous three points. This strong signals of EUR/USD must be counted very exactly within +- 5 points range between two supportive points, unlike crossing currency pair of CAD/CHF. For the strong stabilization of peaks signals, the stabilization trend starts descending from or above the strong peaks level; for the strong stabilization of bottoms signals, stabilization trends starts ascending from or below the strong bottom level. Currency exchange signals: there must be both strong peaks and bottoms signals shown concurrently (as defined by currency exchange operation), and the points between both of them is usually approximately 30 points (the ranges from the highest peak to the lowest bottom must be less than 35 points). For the trading of currency exchange signals for basic currency pair EUR/USD in short term with optimal bonus targets of 50 points stabilization trends, it is applicable on setting up selling orders when the trend ascends above the first strong peaks signals (at least four or more peaks) forming in a week by more than 5 points, and the stop-losing is at 50 points above the selling orders (45 points higher to the strong peak level only); the buying orders setting up is in the inverse way; However, there are several trading conditions to optimize in short term: 1. if the strong signals releases stabilization trend by approximately 40 points (more than 35 points) without this familiar signals firstly, it is not to trade this signals again; 2. the strong stabilization signals doesn't stand in short term if it starts around the open price of a week without apparent trends (less than 40 points trends between weekly peak and bottom). For example, on 10-11/12/2019, the first currency exchange signals is counted before apparent trends (40 points) is shown (three of four supportive bottoms are counted before apparent trends is shown), then short main starts to rebound back from exactly 100 points to it; 3. For example, on 05/02/2020 the currecny exchange signals occurs, which is closed to last signals of currency exchange on 30/01/2020 (+- less than 0.5% ranges between two continuous currency exchage signals), so it goes down sharply to more than 200 points below the strong bottoms. Indeed, there are currency exchange signals continuously for three times around this level. For another example, currency exchange signals are continuously shown over 04-11/10/2019 at the same price level for more than twice, so that the short main rebounds from 190 points above it with single peak. For the middle term trading (to test the rebound trends after 100 points or more points to the currency exchange signals), the second strong peaks or bottoms at the range of more than 100 points to the first currency exchange signals must be shown again to confirm the rebound trends (If the second strong peaks or bottoms are shown at the range of less than 100 points to the first currency exchange signals, the second trading signals may suit for short term trading only without targeting the first currency exchange signals such as 10-11/10/2019). In this case, the stop-losing is still 50 points inversely to the second strong signals if it occurs after apparent trends of a week (more than 40 points). For example, if there is currency exchange signals at 1.1000, and the strong peaks is not released immediately with upwards trend only, when there's strong peaks again at 1.1200 to confirm, then it is to test the rebound down trends above 1.1200. For another example, if it rebounds from more than 150 points to the currency exchange signals (for example, it rebounds from 1.1270 to 1.1000), it usually re-touches the middle term peak (1.1270) after more than 100 points rebound in the middle (for example, it should rebound down from 1.1270 to 1.1160 firstly and then ascends again to re-touch 1.1270 peak, targeting 1.1000 finally). This nature usually is applicable on EUR/USD only. In this case, cashing trading without leverages in Bank of China is the optimal tools in terms of a combination of both exchange rate and Forex Futures trading fees. The exchange rate of major currency pairs is only less than 0.3% in Bank of China, and the Futures trading fees is approximately 6 points for major currency pairs. For example, when EUR/USD reaches long main targets and subsequently aims to short main targets, EUR is exchanged into USD and USD is used as cash deposit to sell EUR/USD by Futures tool in Bank of China. This fees is much less than other banks globally, which charges the trading fees of at least 1% in this methods.

Strong stabilization signals method above is also applicable on basic currency pair of USD/JPY trading. The optimal bonus target is 50 points stabilization trend for USD/JPY.

Strong stabilization signals method above is also applicable on basic currency pair of AUD/USD trading. However, the optimal min bonus target is at least 100 points which only suits for middle term trading.

Strong stabilization signals method above is also applicable on basic currency pair USD/CHF; the optimal bonus target is 45 points stabilization trends in short term. To optimize the trading in short term, if selling signals occurs in the weekly short main trend as to follow short main, the optimal price setting up orders is to set up selling once the strong peaks is exceeded by more than 5 points; buying signals is in the inverse way; However, if selling signals occurs after weekly long main trend to test rebounding, in this case, it is to set up selling when the last long main releases at least 40 points stabilization trend firstly before setting up selling orders); buying signals is in the invese way. Please note: On 05-07/11/2019, the right price setting up buying orders is counted on the basis of the first four bottoms (descending trend exceeds the first four bottoms by more than 5 points firstly, and it is to avoid the understanding that strong peaks is exceeded by long main trend firstly, misleading to set up selling orders).

For the trading of strong stabilization signals for crossing currency pair CAD/CHF, the inaccuracy of each peak or bottom point can be less than 5 points (for example, if the highest peak is 0.7588, and it rebounds down by 15 points in the middle, then 0.7583 is also counted as this peak point range; for another example, if the highest peak is 0.7588, and it rebounds down by 13 points in the middle trend, then 0.7585 is counted as peak point; however, if the second peak point exceeds the first peak points 0.7588 by more than 5 points, then this stabilization signals does not stand again). The stabilization trends would be multiple ones, and the cumulative trends aross this stabilization signals is at least 1%. For the short term trading of both hedge currency pairs, the optimal bonus trend length is approximately 0.5% stabilization trend (more than 30 points only as conservative bonus rate) for CAD/CHF (for example, on 21/10/2019, the strong peaks release descending trend by more than 0.5% range, then it is not right to follow selling again at the beginning of this week unless it re-shows strong peaks after this 0.5% stabilization trend) and the stop-losing is 25 points inversely to the strong signals. 1. Optimally, this strong stabilization signals of peaks or bottoms are most applicable on the first strong signals at the beginning of a week (if there are both strong peaks and bottoms signals shown concurrently, it is to set up selling firstly once the strong peaks is exceeded by ascending trend, or to set up buying firstly once the strong bottoms signals is exceeded by descending trend), and it is risky to follow buying or selling orders at middle-term peak level or bottom level correspondingly; 2. For the trading signals between two weeks, if the open price of the second week is within 10 points range to the closed price of last week, the peak or bottom points occuring at the end of last week would be continuous, and at least two peak or bottom points must be confirmed at the beginning of the second week for this trading (For example, the CAD/CHF trend on 29/06/2019; however, on 05/08/2019, the supportive bottoms at previous bottom level (0.7427) are not doubly confirmed at the beginning of the second week); if the open price of the second week is more or less than 20 points to the closed price of last week, then the stabilization signals at the end of last week would not be applicable any more (For example, CAD/CHF trend on 10/06/2019); For the strong stabilization of bottoms, the first buying orders would be setting up at 13 points above the strong bottoms with target bonus of 15 points, and the second orders would be setting up at 15 points below strong bottoms. Strong stabilization of peaks is in the inverse way. If the stabilization signals occurs around the open price at the beginning of a week (without 40 points trends), it is optimal for this crosing currency pair CAD/CHF to trade; However, when there are apparent trends in this week, it is optimal to trade basic currency pairs instead.

China A50 index trading --- shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: the first bottom point must descend by at least 100 points from the previous peak; then rebounds up by at least 100 points in the middle trend; finally the second bottom point is within 50 points apart to the first peak. Trading methods: when the second bottom is about to occur, buying orders is set up at the first bottom point, with stop-losing at 55 points below the first bottom point. If the lowest bottom is not tested, then the second lowest bottom is tested. When there is a single peak point leaving as the middle term target of long main, the optimal time to enter the market is after 1000 points descending trend for the first buying orders, targeting the single peak; the second buying orders is set up at 2000 points descending to the single peak point, with bonus target of 1000 points.  

Please note: Interactive brokers would release sharp trends at the transient time of turning over Futures at 06:00AM, and this would not be the slipery points, which definitely is taken into considerations. It is cautious to pre-set up orders over this sensitive time if there are currency exchange signals (for example on 20/02/2020 EUR/USD). This case indicates that the optimal price ('exceeded points') setting up orders in this method should occur from EU to US business hours normally, but the shart trends at this transient time must be taken into consideration for making decision. It is fine to trade USD/CHF and USD/JPY over 24 hours instead, and both currency pairs do not show the sharp trends at the transient time of turning over Futures at 06:00AM in Interactive Brokers, so it is also fine to follow both of them in the middle term. The points calculation is based on the data detrived from Activtrades, the most exact data in market. For example, on 27/02/2020, the third highest peak is 110.454, and the fourth peak is 110.403, so that the currency exchange signals does not form.
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-6-18 10:27:41 | 显示全部楼层
China A50 index trading --- shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: the first bottom point must descend by at least 100 points from the previous peak; then rebounds up by at least 100 points in the middle trend; finally the second bottom point is within 50 points apart to the first peak. Trading methods: when the second bottom is about to occur, buying orders is set up at the first bottom point, with stop-losing at 55 points below the first bottom point. If the lowest bottom is not tested, then the second lowest bottom is tested. When there is a single peak point leaving as the middle term target of long main, the optimal time to enter the market is after 1000 points descending trend for the first buying orders, targeting the single peak; the second buying orders is set up at 2000 points descending to the single peak point, with bonus target of 1000 points.  
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-7-7 09:50:34 | 显示全部楼层
天气炎热,修炼气功需要到阴凉处。所有的猴子在这个季节都是躲在阴凉处。本王每天都是忍受伤痛,坚持不懈修炼。那些能够经受住考验的士兵,绝大多数都没有本领打出杀伤力的气功波,但是只要卖苦力就可以招录。
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-7-11 17:34:13 | 显示全部楼层
For the short term trading of EUR/USD, CHF/JPY, CAD/CHF, CAD/JPY or China A50: testing the double supportive peaks or bottoms is applicable. 1. However, this testing can be very exactly within +- 5 points range, unlike AUD/JPY and CAD/CHF above; 2. When the trading cost is reduced to less than 2 Pips on Monday, the first peak or bottom point is tested routinely. If it is supportive, at least 10 points rebound trend is shown as bonus target. For an example of supportive peaks, when the second peak is about to occur, selling orders is pre-set up. When it exceeds the first peak point by more than 5 points, buying orders is to set up automatically, there are two trading methods next:1. it is to wait for the supportive peaks at higher price (if there are no double supportive peaks at the highest weekly price, then the peak point at the second highest price over this week is the only target to test for avoiding frequent trading); 2. or subsequently if it does not show double supportive peaks at higher price (showing single peak point only), but goes inversely down to the previous bottom, then it is to test this bottom point firstly (if this bottom point is broken next, it is to test at lower supportive bottom points). 3. If the second peak or bottom is not supportive, it usually comes back to save the trapped orders in a week, so it is to gain without lose at the first time of a week automatically. 4. If it exceeds the supportive two peaks with a single peak point, indicating stronger long main trend, then it is to follow this single peak point, and it is to set up the float deficit at the weekly bottom level. For trading CHF/JPY, when the single point is shown on Monday or Tuesday, it is fine to follow this target. However, when the single peak point is shown at the later stage of a week, this may be too risky to follow immediately because this single peak may be too high to follow in a week compared with the weekly botttom point; or reduced Lots follow this single peak only. If subsequently it drops down below the weekly bottom under adverse situation, then supportive bottoms are tested routinely firstly, targeting the single peak in the next few weeks. 5. If it ascends by more than 10 points before news releases, it would descend sharply upon highly impact news; if it descends by more than 10 points before news releases, it would ascend sharply upon impact news. 6. The optimal target bonus is the smooth trend at the beginning of a week, rather than frequently trading method. 7. However, once there is a single peak or bottom point in a week, which may become the long main or short main target for middle-term trading in the next few weeks. This trading method is mostly applicable on CAD/CHF and CHF/JPY, whereas the other currency pairs frequently shows second highest supportive peaks or second lowest supportive bottoms as to seal the ascending or descending trend over a week.
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-8-2 11:57:06 | 显示全部楼层
The bonus rate of high leverages traded by above short term method is approximately 1.0% per week for each currency pair, and the Max float deficit is preliminarily set to be 5% for each currency pair in high leverages account. So far the Max float deficit is less than 8% in a week over my trading history, but finally it always gains bonus in a week. It is rather risky to hold high leverages orders over weekend !   
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-10-20 15:05:18 | 显示全部楼层
The average bonus rate is 12% per month, wth Max float deficit of less than 25% in Swissquote Bank account in the past months.
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-10-20 15:05:56 | 显示全部楼层
It is the right time to upgrade into a corporation account by now.
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-12-7 10:02:18 | 显示全部楼层
The long main of CHF/JPY ceases at the second highest peaks level at 110.22 with double confirmation, leaving the single peak at 110.39. It is already to sell this currency pair with short main target at 107.80 level indicated by strong stabilization signals at this level. This is a risk warning to long main.
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-12-28 09:20:37 | 显示全部楼层
The overall float deficit increases to 10% in high leverages of institutional account now due to sharp ascending of CHF/JPY. Short term trading is less risky than middle term trading. The defined stop-losing is 1% per trading operation, and the profitable possibility is very high, although short term trading requires full-time hard working.
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 楼主| 发表于 2020-2-4 15:04:28 | 显示全部楼层
No more middle-term trading again. The single peak trading methods is only applicable on China A50 index.
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