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Summary of hedge funds operation

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发表于 2018-6-29 11:18:39 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
Summary of AUD/JPY: The hedge trend is calculated on the basis of the first price in a week, and the first main stream is very important. The first main stream of AUD/JPY: more than 20 points ascending or descending stream to the open price as normal stream. The key technical support points of the first main stream is 50 points (+ - 5 points) inversely to the open price. Generally the supportive two peaks or bottom (+- less than 5 points) per day is the key technical support, for selling or buying respectively. Two peaks or bottoms shape: spanning 30 minutes between two supportive points; rebounding at least 11 points in the middle trend for accurate high leverage trading tool (if just more than 10 points rebound in the middle, it is fine, but it is not a good chance to test, which means that there are lack of followers). If this supportive peaks or bottoms are broken (+- more than 5 points; sometimes more than 5 but less than 6 points becomes the stabilization signals between two peaks or bottoms. This is the stabilization temporally, and it still comes back to the weekly peak or bottom after short main or long main trend is accomplished), then orders should follow the long or short main respectively. The optimal trading steps by steps: for example, if there are two supportive peaks during EU business hours, the first selling Lots is set up; if it is broken, then inverse bidding is set up, leading to float deficit of at most 13 points; then it is usually to establish two supportive peaks at higher price after this, so second selling Lots is set up and is to gain bonus of buying Lots by this; .... Finally both long main and short main would gain bonus in a week if the stabilization signals are always normal.

The optimal trading methods according to the supportive points: for example, the first main stream is long main by more than 20 points. 1. Testing of supportive peaks would start at more than 20 points above the open price, or supportive bottoms at the open price is tested when the first main stream of more than 20 points rebounds back (without two peaks). the tests of supportive peaks is safe until the beginning of Tuesday in the first running (at least 25 points ascending or descending to the open price of a week and then rebounds back to the open pirce (+- less than 10 points); the Min or Max price is no more than 15 points below or above the open price). 2. In the second running, if it establishes two supportive bottoms around open price (for example, if the open price is 88.00 then it establishes two supportive bottoms from 87.60 to 88.10 range), cash trading may follow if there are more than 50 points from the supportive bottom point to the peak point of the first running, and otherwise it is better to follow when the peak occuring in the first running is broken. For the second running, if the first main stream is long main, and then it re-establishes two bottom points between 20 and 40 points below the open price in the second running, no lower supportive bottoms may be re-established again between this range if previous bottoms are broken. However, this single point would becomes the target for short main in the next few weeks when long main finishes. Consequently, the second running leads to higher risks in terms of more float deficits. The optimal time of following second running is at the beginning of next business day, if supportive bottoms are shown. If there are two bottom points between 20 to 40 points below the open price in the second running, then the peak occuring in the first running is the supportive point to test in the second running to aviod lose. If the first weekly peak occuring in the first running or the daily peak are exceeded during Asian business hours when the second running starts, orders continues to hold; otherwise it is to gain at the daily peak to avoid inverse trend. This is definitely the key point to test, and if this point is supportive it would rebounds down. Otherwise if continues to ascend. However, if the key technical support at 50 points below the open price is broken, it is to gain this buying orders without lose at the first time of saving this. 3. If the first main stream is long main, and the key support at 55 points below the open price is broken on Monday, Tuesday, or Wednesday, the other half cash must be selling until at least Thursday to avoid extreme events (more than 10 % descending in the coming weeks). 4. The most risky trend: only showing one points of 15 points inversely against the first main stream (2016/07/11; 2016/10/02; 2017/06/19), which leads to strong trend without rebound at 4% ascending or descending. In week 2017/06/19, it shows 15 points broken trend firstly, and then bids for higher peaks. Although it subsequently bids for lower points to the 50 points below the open price, this clause is still effective in two weeks. Only buying orders is the plan without selling one in two weeks. This is the real warning! If there is strong ascending without weekly two bottoms (only one bottom point is shown), it would come back to re-touch this point in the next few weeks. 5.The optimal trading for FoF of 1:1 trading: two even Lots of trading is prepared for this in a week; the optimal trading rebound down trend for the half Lots is the supportive peaks at more than Min100 or optimal 125 points above the open price in the first running and the optimal time of setting up this is after AU business hours on Tuesday; or seting up rebounds down orders after AU business hours on Thursday in the second runing; or when the first running rebounds down and stabilizes around the open price for the second running, half Lots are following the second running of long main. The other half Lots are prepared for inverse bidding when it breaks the 50 points supports below the open price. 6. There are predictable situations of bidding inversely: If the first main stream is no more than 50 points and then it shows secondary peaks which are lower than the first peak (the first peak can be hardly re-reached again) in the second running (such as 12/06/2017; 13/11/2017), it is much possible to bid inversely. 7. About highly impact news on market responses: if it shows two peaks (or bottoms) exactly when news are released, it is definately to test; if it stays significantly below the previous single peak or the third peak (more than 10 points below the peak in the middle trend and always less than 6 points to the first peak until news is released) when news is released, it may bid for higher peak; if it stays NOT significantly below the previous one peak (always less than 10 points below it until news is released) when news is released, it may descend upon the impact news; if it stays in the middle trend when news is released: when the trend goes down (up) by more than 10 points exactly before news is released, it would bid up (down). 8. On Wednesday, if the trend still stays in the first running without rebound back yet and without achieving 1.5% ascending target, then it would need to wait for testing rebound trend on Thursday morning. 9. Calibration of supportive points: if the first peak or bottom point occuring at the beginning of AU business hours is significantly lower or higher than the weekly peak or bottom shown previously, then this lower peak or higher bottom point becomes the secondary reference for testing; if there is supportive peaks occuring during previous US business hours, then this peak would be the target for test on subsequently BoJ business hours, but only one time is tested. 10. Gaining bonus from the routine stabilization signals (at more than 20 points above or below to the open price): the average trading fees for high leverage is 1.3 points, then 4.5 points to the first weekly peak or bottom (including trading fees) is the points setting up orders, and targets 5 points bonus only for each stabilization without impact news. This is the insurance for min bonus. For example, at GMT 00:00 on 27/11/2017, the first bottom at 87.285 becomes the reference for test rather than the lower bottom (87.255) occuring at the beginning of AU business hours, which exhausts the resilience so that no test is given at 87.255; For example, at GMT 06:00 on 17/11/2017, the sharp descending leads to failure of this test at 85.14, but the chance of gaining without lose is given at the first time. Usually the safe resilience is within 10 points rebound trend to the second peak, which is important to this trading method! When there is no impact trend, this testing is the last chance to make min bonus. However, if the stabilization signals of weekly bottom or peak points are unusual (without 10 points rebound to both bottoms or peaks after the second supportive points) at the first time of a week; or if the stabilization signals during the second running is unusual at the previously weekly peak or bottom points occuring in the first running (such as week 28/08/2017), then there is no trading of stabilization bottom or peak respectively in a week due to the inactive currency convertors, and strong bullishing or bearishing trend is usually shown in a week if it is un-stabilized. In this case, test would be taken on Friday after the first daily supportive points are broken on Friday (except on week 08/06/2017 when the broken points is increased to 6 points rather than 5 points). The most profitable trading time is on Friday for this 5-points target bonus. 11. For example, on 02/11/2017, if there are stabilization signals at 88.00 for several times, the stabilization signals are usually broken after several confirmations to show money is too hot and then hedge funds would direct market to rebound strongly. This case is usually right before Thursday in a week when the first main stream is not strong (for examples, 1% ascending or descending), except on Thursday and Friday such as 01/12/2017 when there are strong bullishing or bearishing trend in a week. However, this strong stabilization would lead to trading signals in the next week or gain target bonus; for example, on week 19/06/2017, the stabilization signals at the first weekly bottoms is unusual (less than 10 points rebound trend after the second bottoms) at more than 15 points below the open price against the first main stream of long main, and after that the stabilization signals of supportive bottoms are inactive until it descends by more than 55 points to the open price. If this un-stabilization signals occurs during Asian business hours, it would be strong trading signals in this week, directed by hedge funds. However, even if this un-stabilization signals becomes a big bullishing or bearishing trend, there are still strong supports at 50 points above or below the open pirce as exceptional cases (such as 25/09/2017 and 04/12/2017), which would indicate to gain bonus as tests. 12. The supportive points around the open price (less than 20 points ascending or descending to the open price) are for testing only (such as 11/12/2017 and 29/05/2017) at the beginning of a week. If it breaks the testing peaks or bottoms during AU business hours on Monday (before 08:00AM GMT), reduced Lots would follow long or short main respectively, with Max bonus target of 50 points to the weekly bottom or peaks. Please note: if the testing peaks or bottoms are broken after this business hours, this following methods leads to risks. If this testing peaks are not supportive at the first time and subsequently there are stabilization signals occuring in the BoJ business hours on Monday, then it is better to test this stabilization in terms of gaining bonus at the second peak only without setting up selling orders (such as 23/06/2017). This would become a big bullishing signal; When the first supportive points is increased to 6 points (such as 13/11/2017), this methods would be unusual; Steps by steps: when there is supportive peaks, selling; when it is broken, buying by the same Lots until higher peaks; finally selling Lots is gained without lose. this method is applicable in reduced Lots. Even if it is trapped like week 13/11/2017 (except 03/10/2016 when the short main only leads to 15 points descending to the open price at the beginning of a week), each lower supportive bottom is tested during routine business hours until it goes back to the single point. This double - trend trading method requires the least cash deposit as hedge operation to ensure capital safety, compared with trading for single - trend, as well as taking the opportunities in the supportive points occuring in the middle trend. This method takes advantages in the stabilization signals per week. The optimal time of testing supportive points are from AU to the beginning of US business hours only (excluding lunch time). This would be the trading signals for routine Lots when there is at least 4% bonus target for cash trading, which is defined below. If the previous bottom or peak can be hardly re-touched or occurs during the late of US business hours, it would test the higher bottoms or lower peaks, which is approximately 25 points apart to the previous bottom or peak, in the next week (for example from 15/09/2016 to 27/09/2016, higher bottoms at 76.17 is tested instead of 75.96). Further more, if these higher bottoms or lower peaks becomes the trading signals, it would lead to 300 points ascending or descending trend in the coming weeks (for example, 15/12/2016 and 05/03/2018). The pre-defined float deficit is 3% for routine Lots; 6 % for 1/2 routine Lots; 12% for 1/4 routine Lots, which meet the historic crisis range. The key points for the routine tests: the 50 points support below the open price if the first main stream is long main of more than 20 points ascending and there is stabilization of supportive bottoms below the open price before it touches the key point; the weekly peak in the first running becomes the key point to test in the second running and the short main of more than 20 ponts is shown before the second running starts; on Monday morning, it ascends by more than 20 ponts as single peak and rebounds back to the open price to set up buying orders. 14. Cash trading: the first target is the single peak or bottom points over a week (trapped long or short main) as the target in the coming week; the second target is the ascending or descending by more than 1.5% in the first running without rebounds back in a week; the third target is that: if there is stabilization peaks at 85.30, and this stabilization is broken without rebounds down to save it, ascending to 88.30, then this stabilization signals becomes the target in the coming weeks; the fourth trading target is the resilience of currency pairs, each 1.7% ascending or descending becomes the target to exchange (1/4 cash per exchange). However, if this is trapped (for example AUD is exchanged into JPY at 81.75, it still ascends to 83.00), it is to save this trading at the first time of rebounds back by 1.5%. The more than 3% ascending or descending is usually predictable according to the weekly graph. The optimal target bonus of this trading is at least 10% per year.         

Consequently, the optimal trading points of a week: 1. On Monday, if there is stabilization signals at more than 20 points ascending or descending to the open price (< 1% ascending or descending) without un-stabilization signal in this range, occuring during the routine business hours, 1/4 routine Lots would enter until the beginning of next business day, with affordable float deficit of 1% range to the open price; 2. On Tuesday, if hedge funds directs market to bid as the second running, 1/4 routine Lots is set up, with affordable deficit at more than 55 points below the open price (the first main stream is long main); 3. On Tuesday, if the first main stream is long main and it tests the supportive bottoms at more than 20 points below the open price on Tuesday previously with normal supportive trend below the open price, the optimal target bonus is 10 points only (this is given the highest bonus rate according to statistics in the past); 4. On Tuesday, if there is stabilization signals at more than 50 points but less than 1% ascending or descending range in the first running, 1/4 routine Lots would enter to test rebound, with bonus target at open price. However, if it does not show stabilization below 1% ascending or descending range in the first running, it usually indicates big bullishing or bearishing trend in the coming weeks. If it reaches more than 1.5% ascending or descending in the first running on Tuesday, it may rebound back by at least 100 points. 5. On Wednesday, the stabilization signals at more than 1.5% to the open price in the first running or at more than 2.0% inverse trend against the first main stream (If there is stabilization at 1.5%, the affordable deficit is 2% to the open price; if there is stabilization at more than 2%, the affordable deficit is 3% to the open price); 6. On Tuesday or Wednesday, if there is strong stabilization signals below 1% range, 1/4 routine Lots would enter when the strong stabilization signals is broken, with affordable float deficit of 3%; 7. On Thursday, the rebound trend at weekly peaks or bottoms if the stabilization signals are always normal in a week; 8. On Friday, the trading for 5-points target bonus is most profitable by doubling Lots; 9.The weekly peak or bottom points occuring in the first running of a week is the key point to test for the second running if the second running starts at more than 20 points to the open price which is inversely against the first main stream of a week; 10. The weekly single peak or bottom is to test by 1/4 Lots when there is at least 100 bonus range by rebounds; 11. The optimal time of testing supportive points are from AU to the early of US business hours (by 15:00 GMT) only (excluding lunch time) except historic points. The trading cost of cash for AUD/JPY: exchange rate is 25 points; 1:1 FoF is 13 points; high leverages is 1.3 points. When the graph is unusual or un-familar with, then it is better to observe it only. Good luck!
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-6-29 11:20:06 | 显示全部楼层
Cash trading: the first target is the single peak or bottom point over a week (trapped long or short main) as the target in the coming week; the second target is that: if there is stabilization peaks at 85.30, and this stabilization is broken without rebounds down to save it, ascending to 88.30, then this stabilization signals becomes the target in the coming weeks; the third target is the ascending or descending by more than 1.5% in the first running without rebounds back in a week; ; the fourth trading target is the resilience of currency pairs, each 1.7% ascending or descending becomes the target to exchange (1/4 cash per exchange). However, if this is trapped (for example AUD is exchanged into JPY at 81.75, it still ascends to 83.00), it is to save this trading at the first time of rebounds back by 1.5%. For the first target occuring due to the extreme events (such as the Brexit week in 2016), subsequently higher weekly bottoms or lower peaks are doubly confirmed in the coming weeks. The optimal bonus resilience is 4% for stoping bonus of buying (selling) orders if the previous long main (short main) target is achieved; 6% apart from the first taget is 3/4 Lots for cashing (for example of long main, all the cash is AUD and 1/2 of AUD is buying orders); more than 8% to the first target is the fully Lots.   
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-6-29 11:20:52 | 显示全部楼层
Cash trading: the first target is the single peak or bottom point over a week (trapped long or short main) as the target in the coming week; the second target is that: if there is stabilization peaks at 85.30, and this stabilization is broken without rebounds down to save it, ascending to 88.30, then this stabilization signals becomes the target in the coming weeks; the third target is the ascending or descending by more than 1.5% in the first running without rebounds back in a week; ; the fourth trading target is the resilience of currency pairs, each 1.7% ascending or descending becomes the target to exchange (1/4 cash per exchange). However, if this is trapped (for example AUD is exchanged into JPY at 81.75, it still ascends to 83.00), it is to save this trading at the first time of rebounds back by 1.5%. For the first target occuring due to the extreme events (such as the Brexit week in 2016), subsequently higher weekly bottoms or lower peaks are doubly confirmed in the coming weeks. The optimal bonus resilience is 4% for stoping bonus of buying (selling) orders if the previous long main (short main) target is achieved; 6% apart from the first taget is 3/4 Lots for cashing (for example of long main, all the cash is AUD and 1/2 of AUD is buying orders); more than 8% to the first target is the fully Lots.           
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-8-10 10:30:11 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several confirmations (at least four times) of weekly peaks or bottoms above or below the open price. Selling above this weekly peak level or buying below this weekly bottom level is the trading methods. At least 100 points resilience from the weekly peak (or bottom) to the bottom (or peak) across the stabilization level is the bonus target for the next two cases: If it breaks up or down this strong stabilization level by more than 100 points, it is profitable to bid, with the Max historic float deficit of 200 points to this strong stabilization level; If this strong stabilization occurs in the first main stream of more than 1 % above or below the open price, it is profitable to cool down. In the last two cases, the target bonus may be more than 50 points only across this strong stabilization level: if this strong stabilization of weekly bottoms or peaks occurs after the long main or short main rebounds back to the open price, which occurs in the second running; or if it breaks up or down on Friday, it may be conserved to bid immediately in this week with more than 50 points resilience across it only. However, if the first stabilization trend is less than 1% resilience, then the second stabilization trend would re-occur across the strong stabilization signals.
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-8-15 20:39:46 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several confirmations (at least four times) of weekly peaks or bottoms above or below the open price. Selling above this weekly peak level or buying below this weekly bottom level is the trading methods. At least 100 points resilience from the weekly peak (or bottom) to the bottom (or peak) across the stabilization level is the bonus target for the next two cases: If it breaks up or down this strong stabilization level by more than 100 points, it is profitable to bid, with the Max historic float deficit of 300 points to this strong stabilization level; If this strong stabilization occurs in the first main stream at more than 1 % above or below the open price before Thursday, it is profitable to cool down. In the next two cases, the target bonus may be more than 50 points only across this strong stabilization level: if this strong stabilization of weekly bottoms or peaks occurs after the long main or short main rebounds back to the open price, which occurs in the second running; or if it breaks up or down on Friday, it may be conserved to bid immediately in this week with more than 50 points resilience across it only. However, if the first stabilization trend is less than 1% resilience, then the second stabilization trend would re-occur across the strong stabilization signals.
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-8-29 08:49:04 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several confirmations (at least four times) of weekly peaks or bottoms above or below the open price. Selling above this weekly peak level or buying below this weekly bottom level is the trading methods. At least 100 points resilience from the weekly peak (or bottom) to the bottom (or peak) across the stabilization level is the bonus target for the next two cases: If it breaks up or down this strong stabilization level by more than 100 points, it is profitable to bid, with the Max historic float deficit of 300 points to this strong stabilization level (referring to the stabilization of peak at 87.30 on week 11/09/2017 and Max peak at 90.30 on 21/09/2017); If this strong stabilization occurs in the first main stream at more than 1 % above or below the open price before Thursday, it is profitable to cool down. In the next two cases, the target bonus may be more than 50 points only across this strong stabilization level: if this strong stabilization of weekly bottoms or peaks occurs after the long main or short main rebounds back to the open price, which occurs in the second running; or if it breaks up or down on Friday, it may be conserved to bid immediately in this week with more than 50 points resilience across it only. However, if the first stabilization trend is less than 80 points resilience (referring to the Min resilience of 80 points only on week 18/11/2016), then the second stabilization trend would re-occur across the strong stabilization signals. If the strong stabilization level is lower or higher than the weekly peaks or bottoms, only more than 80 points resilience rather than 100 points is the target bonus.
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-9-6 09:50:11 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several continuous confirmations (at least four times) of daily peaks or bottoms points without broken points in the middle trend. Selling above or buying below this stabilization level is the trading methods. At least 100 points resilience from the weekly peak (or bottom) to the bottom (or peak) across the stabilization level is the bonus target for the next two cases: If it breaks up or down this strong stabilization level by more than 100 points, it is profitable to bid, with the Max historic float deficit of 300 points to this strong stabilization level (referring to the stabilization of peak at 87.30 on week 11/09/2017 and Max peak at 90.30 on 21/09/2017); If this strong stabilization occurs in the first main stream at more than 1 % above or below the open price before Thursday, it is profitable to cool down. In the other cases, the cumulative trends across the stabilization level would be more than 100 points, which is the safe bonus target. However, if the strong stabilization level is lower or higher than the weekly peaks or bottoms, only more than 80 points resilience (referring to the Min resilience of 80 points only on week 18/11/2016) rather than 100 points is the target bonus.
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-9-6 11:14:14 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several continuous confirmations (at least four times) of supportive peaks or bottoms points. Shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: spanning 30 minutes between any of two supportive points; rebounding at least 11 points in the middle trend between two points for accurate high leverage trading tool (if just more than 10 points rebound trend in the middle, it is fine, but it is not a good chance to test, which means that there are lack of followers); + - no more than 5 points between the first two points; the third point can refer to either of previous two points, and the fourth point can refer to any of previous three points .... Selling above or buying below this stabilization level is the trading methods. At least 100 points resilience from the weekly peak (or bottom) to the bottom (or peak) across the stabilization level is the bonus target for the next two cases: If it breaks up or down this strong stabilization level tidily by more than 100 points, it is profitable to bid, with the Max historic float deficit of 300 points to this strong stabilization level (referring to the stabilization of peak at 87.30 on week 11/09/2017 and Max peak at 90.30 on 21/09/2017); If this strong stabilization occurs in the first main stream at more than 1 % above or below the open price before Thursday, it is profitable to cool down with a tidy stabilization trend of more than 100 points. In the other cases, the optimal bonus target is 50 points stabilization trend across this level only, with the cumulative trends of more than 100 points across the stabilization level. However, if the strong stabilization level is lower or higher than the weekly peaks or bottoms, only more than 80 points resilience (referring to the Min resilience of 80 points only on week 18/11/2016) rather than 100 points is the target bonus.
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-9-8 15:53:29 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several continuous confirmations (at least four times) of supportive peaks or bottoms points. Shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: spanning 30 minutes between any of two supportive points; rebounding at least 11 points in the middle trend between two points for accurate high leverage trading tool (if just more than 10 points rebound trend in the middle, it is fine, but it is not a good chance to test, which means that there are lack of followers); + - no more than 5 points between the first two points; the third point can refer to either of previous two points, and the fourth point can refer to any of previous three points .... Selling above or buying below this stabilization level is the trading methods. At least 100 points resilience from the weekly peak (or bottom) to the bottom (or peak) across the stabilization level is the bonus target for the next two cases: If it breaks up or down this strong stabilization level tidily by more than 100 points, it is profitable to bid, with the Max historic float deficit of 300 points to this strong stabilization level (referring to the stabilization of peak at 87.30 on week 11/09/2017 and Max peak at 90.30 on 21/09/2017); If this strong stabilization occurs in the first main stream at more than 1 % above or below the open price before Thursday, it is profitable to cool down with a tidy stabilization trend of more than 100 points. In the other cases, the optimal bonus target is 50 points stabilization trend across this level only, with the cumulative trends of more than 100 points across the stabilization level. However, if the strong stabilization level is lower or higher than the weekly peaks or bottoms, only more than 80 points resilience (referring to the Min resilience of 80 points only on week 18/11/2016) rather than 100 points is the target bonus. If this strong stabilization signal is over weeks or already shows a stabilization trend of more than 50 points, it becomes weaker in the later.  
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 楼主| 发表于 2018-9-21 16:47:03 | 显示全部楼层
Strong stabilization signals: the several continuous confirmations (at least four times) of supportive peaks or bottoms points. Shape of supportive peaks or bottoms: spanning 30 minutes between any of two supportive points; rebounding at least 11 points in the middle trend between two points for accurate high leverage trading tool (if just more than 10 points rebound trend in the middle, it is fine, but it is not a good chance to test, which means that there are lack of followers); + - no more than 5 points between the first two points; the third point can refer to either of previous two points, and the fourth point can refer to any of previous three points .... Selling above or buying below this stabilization level is the trading methods. At least 100 points resilience (or cumulative trend of more than 100 points) from the weekly peak (or bottom) to the bottom (or peak) across the stabilization level is the bonus target, with Max historic float deficit of 4%. However, if the strong stabilization level is lower or higher than the weekly peaks or bottoms, only more than 80 points resilience (referring to the Min resilience of 80 points only on week 18/11/2016) rather than 100 points is the target bonus. If this strong stabilization signal is over weeks or already shows a stabilization trend of more than 50 points, it becomes weaker in the later. The optimal trading is to set up the first orders at 5 points to the stabilization signals; and to set up the second orders at 2% to the stabilization signals.   
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